Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 120.293163 136.999642 155.492875 177.534252 203.156626 232.082376 267.322649
2025-12-14 95.161569 116.516680 142.161657 175.423979 217.709854 270.049529 340.321758
2025-12-21 82.191640 105.923942 136.127575 177.779927 234.342885 309.358001 417.847038
2025-12-28 74.962003 100.743022 135.161889 185.119708 256.852620 357.785403 513.520033
2026-01-04 68.293200 95.071447 132.296148 188.740572 273.786125 399.799716 605.710957
2026-01-11 61.526995 88.260786 126.731338 187.309080 282.496568 430.109424 683.974267
2026-01-18 57.472914 84.798777 125.423683 191.729940 300.197204 475.980996 793.813763
2026-01-25 52.922665 80.036922 121.520567 191.418188 309.951494 509.840919 888.147204
2026-02-01 49.525532 76.664634 119.329944 193.434309 323.523890 551.516739 1002.733358
2026-02-08 45.399980 71.713174 114.070114 189.621666 326.360429 574.353885 1085.237430
2026-02-15 42.786744 68.965358 112.117541 191.181677 338.782053 616.019529 1211.298232
2026-02-22 40.438953 66.433467 110.253268 192.614476 350.994044 658.686199 1346.490441
2026-03-01 36.577582 61.253953 103.805081 185.883244 348.578156 675.839820 1438.669603
2026-03-08 33.774681 57.701409 99.948101 183.690637 355.095127 712.894123 1585.339906
2026-03-15 31.942165 55.687101 98.634333 186.173433 371.368980 773.125516 1800.176973
2026-03-22 30.963718 55.120206 99.913513 193.905618 399.763661 864.890376 2115.555205
2026-03-29 29.586749 53.667326 99.334608 197.720784 420.137934 941.884765 2412.410797
2026-04-05 27.742038 51.148318 96.413946 196.212418 428.207905 990.844783 2644.962208
2026-04-12 26.712354 50.120476 96.354616 200.870930 451.341156 1081.402490 3022.494513
2026-04-19 25.274434 48.152346 94.180027 200.542396 462.386199 1142.850463 3329.314923
2026-04-26 24.184171 46.793252 93.139431 202.667111 479.849019 1224.808634 3725.895821
2026-05-03 22.646380 44.385386 89.649295 198.649232 480.985617 1261.750081 3983.349146
2026-05-10 21.703247 43.147220 88.577151 200.293154 497.302358 1345.477023 4431.054162